Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Cates 45.5% (-8.8%)
Offensive zone
Cates 52.9%
Defensive zone
Cates 61.3%
Neutral zone
Cates 50.3%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Hughes
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
45.5% (756)
-8.8%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
42.1% (114)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
44.7% (47)
-11.4%
On power play, Cates has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Hughes
Cates
Home
35.8% (159)
46.2% (468)
Away
36.5% (159)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Hughes
Cates
P1
42.3%
46.0%
P2
28.2%
47.5%
P3
37.2%
42.1%
Final 5 min
27.5%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%