Scouting Report
Noah Gregor holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Gregor 46.4% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 54.1%
Defensive zone
Gregor 62.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 52.7%
Result
Noah Gregor favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Hughes
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
36.8% (38)
-0.1%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
50.0% (2)
-35.7%
On power play, Gregor has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Gregor is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
Hughes
Gregor
Home
35.8% (159)
40.7% (27)
Away
36.5% (159)
30.8% (13)
By Period
Hughes
Gregor
P1
42.3%
42.9%
P2
28.2%
21.4%
P3
37.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
27.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Gregor
40.0%▲
36.0%
37.5%