Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (36.1% vs 35.9%). Hughes wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Gregor 40.4% (+0.2%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 67.3%
Defensive zone
Gregor 61.6%
Neutral zone
Gregor 53.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Hughes
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
36.6% (202)
-0.6%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
28.6% (14)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
0.0% (1)
+31.0%
On penalty kill, Hughes has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Hughes shoots left. Gregor is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Hughes
Gregor
Home
36.8% (1,681)
36.2% (116)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
35.6% (101)
By Period
Hughes
Gregor
P1
36.9%
36.8%
P2
33.4%
28.0%
P3
38.2%
45.5%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
34.1%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Gregor
40.0%▲
36.0%
35.9%