Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Acciari 50.8% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 92.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 67.9%
Neutral zone
Hughes 71.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Hughes
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hughes
Acciari
Last 5: Hughes 1-4 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
3
Hughes
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Hughes
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
52.7% (313)
-16.0%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
33.3% (18)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
49.7% (195)
-16.4%
On power play, Acciari has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hughes shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Hughes
Acciari
Home
35.8% (159)
52.6% (291)
Away
36.5% (159)
48.9% (235)
By Period
Hughes
Acciari
P1
42.3%
53.7%
P2
28.2%
51.1%
P3
37.2%
48.5%
Final 5 min
27.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |