Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Acciari 51.2% (-15.2%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 90.0%
Defensive zone
Hughes 50.9%
Neutral zone
Hughes 65.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Hughes
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Hughes
Acciari
Last 10: Hughes 3-7 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
5
1
Hughes
Acciari
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
8
Hughes
Acciari
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
2
Hughes
Acciari
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
52.8% (3,304)
-16.8%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
48.3% (87)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
47.0% (1,073)
-16.0%
On even strength, Acciari has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,243).
Hughes shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,268).
Home / Away
Hughes
Acciari
Home
36.8% (1,681)
51.9% (2,139)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
50.7% (2,325)
By Period
Hughes
Acciari
P1
36.9%
52.3%
P2
33.4%
51.5%
P3
38.2%
50.2%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
34.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 02:27 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 03:24 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 10:19 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 00:32 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |