Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +18.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Danault 54.5% (-18.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 54.7%
Defensive zone
Danault 88.8%
Neutral zone
Danault 66.5%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Hughes
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Hughes
Danault
Last 9: Hughes 5-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Hughes
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Hughes
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
4
1
Hughes
Danault
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
56.2% (745)
-19.5%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
45.1% (51)
-30.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
51.6% (124)
-18.3%
On power play, Danault has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Danault is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Hughes
Danault
Home
35.8% (159)
56.7% (402)
Away
36.5% (159)
53.7% (518)
By Period
Hughes
Danault
P1
42.3%
55.5%
P2
28.2%
54.2%
P3
37.2%
55.2%
Final 5 min
27.5%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 15:16 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 03:42 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |