Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 17 meetings). Hughes wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Danault 53.2% (-17.1%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 25-18 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 87.7%
Defensive zone
Danault 53.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 80.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Hughes
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
25
(43 meetings)
18
25
Hughes
Danault
Last 10: Hughes 6-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
10
5
Hughes
Danault
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
3
14
Hughes
Danault
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
5
6
Hughes
Danault
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
53.6% (9,481)
-17.6%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
61.3% (758)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
47.4% (1,710)
-16.4%
On power play, Danault has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Hughes shoots left. Danault is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,902).
Home / Away
Hughes
Danault
Home
36.8% (1,681)
54.2% (5,843)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
52.3% (6,106)
By Period
Hughes
Danault
P1
36.9%
53.7%
P2
33.4%
53.4%
P3
38.2%
52.7%
OT
37.5%
49.3%
Final 5 min
34.1%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 15:16 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 03:42 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 1, 2025 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:58 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 12:58 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |