Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (36.2% vs 36.5%). Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Holmberg 45.4% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 53.7%
Defensive zone
Holmberg 57.2%
Neutral zone
Holmberg 50.3%
Result
Pontus Holmberg favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Hughes
Holmberg
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
36.7% (49)
+0.0%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
0.0% (1)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Holmberg has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Holmberg is 35.9% vs left-shot opponents (39).
Home / Away
Hughes
Holmberg
Home
35.8% (159)
33.3% (36)
Away
36.5% (159)
43.8% (16)
By Period
Hughes
Holmberg
P1
42.3%
62.5%
P2
28.2%
20.0%
P3
37.2%
31.3%
Final 5 min
27.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Holmberg
36.0%▼
45.5%
36.5%