Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs McLeod 47.4% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 81.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 51.3%
Neutral zone
Hughes 70.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Hughes
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Hughes
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Hughes
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Hughes
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
49.0% (827)
-12.3%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
44.0% (91)
-29.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
43.0% (272)
-9.7%
On power play, McLeod has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Hughes
McLeod
Home
35.8% (159)
48.5% (619)
Away
36.5% (159)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Hughes
McLeod
P1
42.3%
52.7%
P2
28.2%
43.9%
P3
37.2%
45.8%
Final 5 min
27.5%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |