Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Hughes wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs McLeod 49.5% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 89.7%
Defensive zone
Hughes 64.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 86.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Hughes
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Hughes
McLeod
Last 10: Hughes 1-9 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
8
Hughes
McLeod
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Hughes
McLeod
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
50.4% (3,376)
-14.4%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
50.7% (296)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
44.1% (644)
-13.1%
On even strength, McLeod has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Hughes shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Hughes
McLeod
Home
36.8% (1,681)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Hughes
McLeod
P1
36.9%
50.8%
P2
33.4%
48.0%
P3
38.2%
50.0%
OT
37.5%
37.1%
Final 5 min
34.1%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 03:13 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |