Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Poehling 48.0% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 84.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 67.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 63.5%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Hughes
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Hughes
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Hughes
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Hughes
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
50.4% (680)
-13.7%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
58.3% (12)
-44.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
38.8% (219)
-5.5%
On power play, Poehling has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Hughes
Poehling
Home
35.8% (159)
47.4% (422)
Away
36.5% (159)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Hughes
Poehling
P1
42.3%
53.3%
P2
28.2%
40.3%
P3
37.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
27.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 04:13 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |