Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Poehling 48.3% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Poehling leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 83.2%
Defensive zone
Poehling 88.8%
Neutral zone
Poehling 62.9%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Hughes
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Hughes
Poehling
Last 10: Hughes 4-6 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
0
Hughes
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
3
Hughes
Poehling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
3
Hughes
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
49.6% (2,780)
-13.6%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
51.6% (93)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
41.7% (635)
-10.7%
On even strength, Poehling has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Hughes shoots left. Poehling is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,357).
Home / Away
Hughes
Poehling
Home
36.8% (1,681)
49.3% (1,706)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Hughes
Poehling
P1
36.9%
50.8%
P2
33.4%
47.1%
P3
38.2%
47.2%
OT
37.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
34.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 04:13 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 02:08 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |