Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Bennett 48.2% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 70.5%
Defensive zone
Hughes 63.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 71.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Hughes
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Hughes
Bennett
Last 7: Hughes 2-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Hughes
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
2
Hughes
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
46.4% (811)
-9.7%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
56.9% (153)
-42.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
47.8% (46)
-14.5%
On power play, Bennett has a +42.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Hughes
Bennett
Home
35.8% (159)
49.9% (553)
Away
36.5% (159)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Hughes
Bennett
P1
42.3%
47.4%
P2
28.2%
46.8%
P3
37.2%
48.9%
Final 5 min
27.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |