Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Hughes wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Bennett 47.2% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 74.3%
Defensive zone
Hughes 68.5%
Neutral zone
Hughes 81.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Hughes
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
13
(21 meetings)
8
13
Hughes
Bennett
Last 10: Hughes 3-7 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
2
Hughes
Bennett
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
3
4
Hughes
Bennett
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
7
Hughes
Bennett
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
46.8% (5,714)
-10.8%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
53.6% (558)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
41.8% (256)
-10.8%
On power play, Bennett has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Hughes shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,259).
Home / Away
Hughes
Bennett
Home
36.8% (1,681)
48.3% (3,296)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Hughes
Bennett
P1
36.9%
48.0%
P2
33.4%
46.5%
P3
38.2%
46.8%
OT
37.5%
54.8%
Final 5 min
34.1%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:02 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |