Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Lafferty 43.9% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 72.0%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 79.9%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 55.2%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Hughes
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
42.6% (324)
-7.0%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
31.3% (16)
+18.7%
On power play, Hughes has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hughes shoots left. Lafferty is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Hughes
Lafferty
Home
38.4% (198)
40.9% (181)
Away
35.3% (119)
43.4% (175)
By Period
Hughes
Lafferty
P1
44.3%
42.2%
P2
34.2%
36.4%
P3
34.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
40.4%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
37.2%
Lafferty
48.0%▼
50.0%
42.1%