Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Lafferty 50.4% (-13.0%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 74.8%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 74.0%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 62.6%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Hughes
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
50.7% (144)
-12.8%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
50.0% (10)
-13.6%
On power play, Lafferty has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Hughes shoots left. Lafferty is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Hughes
Lafferty
Home
36.6% (314)
53.2% (62)
Away
38.5% (353)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Hughes
Lafferty
P1
36.4%
53.3%
P2
35.6%
46.7%
P3
41.8%
52.8%
Final 5 min
36.4%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
37.6%
Lafferty
48.0%▼
50.0%
50.6%