Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Reinhart 42.7% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 83.2%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 66.0%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 51.1%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Hughes
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Hughes
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
3
Hughes
Reinhart
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
44.1% (324)
-6.2%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
40.3% (72)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
33.9% (118)
+2.5%
On power play, Reinhart has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Hughes shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Hughes
Reinhart
Home
36.6% (314)
40.5% (232)
Away
38.5% (353)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Hughes
Reinhart
P1
36.4%
46.4%
P2
35.6%
32.6%
P3
41.8%
45.4%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
36.4%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
37.6%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |