Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Reinhart 42.9% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 51.6%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 69.8%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 52.0%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Hughes
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hughes
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
39.0% (77)
-2.3%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
35.4% (48)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
40.9% (22)
-7.6%
On power play, Reinhart has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hughes shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Hughes
Reinhart
Home
35.8% (159)
35.7% (84)
Away
36.5% (159)
41.3% (63)
By Period
Hughes
Reinhart
P1
42.3%
42.6%
P2
28.2%
34.7%
P3
37.2%
37.3%
Final 5 min
27.5%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |