Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +19.3% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Crosby 55.1% (-19.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 88.8%
Defensive zone
Crosby 84.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 75.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 80.2%
19.8%
80.2%
Hughes
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Hughes
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
53.3% (1,025)
-16.6%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
64.7% (249)
-50.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
60.0% (15)
-26.7%
On power play, Crosby has a +50.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Hughes
Crosby
Home
35.8% (159)
56.9% (675)
Away
36.5% (159)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Hughes
Crosby
P1
42.3%
55.1%
P2
28.2%
53.1%
P3
37.2%
58.5%
Final 5 min
27.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |