Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings). Hughes wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Crosby 53.5% (-17.4%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 32-18 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 95.1%
Defensive zone
Hughes 91.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 93.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 94.0%
94.0%
6.0%
Hughes
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
32
(50 meetings)
18
32
Hughes
Crosby
Last 10: Hughes 7-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
10
13
Hughes
Crosby
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
8
Hughes
Crosby
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
5
11
Hughes
Crosby
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
52.8% (18,031)
-16.8%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
57.4% (4,741)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
47.0% (766)
-16.0%
On power play, Crosby has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Hughes shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,886).
Home / Away
Hughes
Crosby
Home
36.8% (1,681)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
52.0% (11,559)
By Period
Hughes
Crosby
P1
36.9%
53.6%
P2
33.4%
53.8%
P3
38.2%
53.3%
OT
37.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
34.1%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 16:52 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 01:41 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 17:33 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 14:54 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |