Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Zegras 42.6% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 56.0%
Defensive zone
Zegras 79.5%
Neutral zone
Zegras 60.0%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 79.5%
20.5%
79.5%
Hughes
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hughes
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
41.1% (559)
-6.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
50.0% (12)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Hughes shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zegras
Home
37.4% (235)
45.7% (247)
Away
33.2% (229)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Hughes
Zegras
P1
37.1%
45.5%
P2
33.7%
36.8%
P3
34.8%
41.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
32.7%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
35.3%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |