Scouting Report
Jack Hughes holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Zegras 37.0% (+3.3%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 68.8%
Defensive zone
Zegras 50.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 56.4%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Hughes
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
33.0% (264)
+3.7%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
32.1% (56)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
On power play, Zegras has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zegras
Home
35.8% (159)
35.3% (173)
Away
36.5% (159)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Hughes
Zegras
P1
42.3%
33.0%
P2
28.2%
35.7%
P3
37.2%
29.7%
Final 5 min
27.5%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%