Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McBain wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Dickinson 49.7% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 66.2%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 70.6%
Neutral zone
McBain 53.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
McBain
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
McBain
Dickinson
Last 9: McBain 5-4 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
3
1
McBain
Dickinson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
2
McBain
Dickinson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
Dickinson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
51.9% (670)
+0.6%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
66.7% (9)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
39.1% (156)
-2.9%
On power play, Dickinson has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
McBain shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
McBain
Dickinson
Home
52.4% (309)
48.7% (431)
Away
49.7% (326)
50.7% (404)
By Period
McBain
Dickinson
P1
54.0%
43.4%
P2
52.7%
54.9%
P3
46.5%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 13:22 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:01 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |