Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Dickinson 47.7% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Dickinson 52.3%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 64.8%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 52.9%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
McBain
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
11
(25 meetings)
14
11
McBain
Dickinson
Last 10: McBain 6-4 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
5
3
McBain
Dickinson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
McBain
Dickinson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
5
4
McBain
Dickinson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
49.0% (4,390)
-0.9%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
51.1% (141)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
40.6% (890)
-5.0%
On power play, Dickinson has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. McBain is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
McBain shoots left. Dickinson is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,470).
Home / Away
McBain
Dickinson
Home
49.1% (1,379)
49.3% (2,791)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
46.0% (2,630)
By Period
McBain
Dickinson
P1
47.1%
47.0%
P2
47.4%
48.2%
P3
45.4%
47.7%
OT
37.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 13:22 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:01 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:11 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:57 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 16:48 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:18 | Defensive | Jack McBain |