Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Eller 50.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
McBain 70.4%
Defensive zone
McBain 69.6%
Neutral zone
McBain 68.6%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
McBain
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
McBain
Eller
Last 10: McBain 3-7 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
6
McBain
Eller
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
4
McBain
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
51.1% (10,321)
-3.0%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
52.8% (621)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
46.6% (1,759)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. McBain is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
McBain shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Home / Away
McBain
Eller
Home
49.1% (1,379)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
McBain
Eller
P1
47.1%
51.2%
P2
47.4%
50.1%
P3
45.4%
50.2%
OT
37.5%
56.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 08:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 01:42 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 1 | 02:23 | Neutral | Lars Eller |