Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 57.2%
Defensive zone
McBain 82.5%
Neutral zone
McBain 67.7%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
McBain
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McBain
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
46.5% (919)
+6.0%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
48.7% (187)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
50.0% (54)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. McBain is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (261).
McBain shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Home / Away
McBain
Scheifele
Home
52.4% (309)
46.6% (605)
Away
49.7% (326)
47.4% (555)
By Period
McBain
Scheifele
P1
54.0%
52.3%
P2
52.7%
45.3%
P3
46.5%
43.9%
OT
50.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Jack McBain |