Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 46.8%). Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). McBain wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Scheifele 46.8% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 16-16 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 69.0%
Defensive zone
McBain 72.4%
Neutral zone
McBain 55.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
McBain
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
16
(32 meetings)
16
16
McBain
Scheifele
Last 10: McBain 6-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
9
McBain
Scheifele
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
7
5
McBain
Scheifele
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
5
2
McBain
Scheifele
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
46.3% (12,077)
+1.8%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
50.2% (2,576)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
41.6% (598)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. McBain is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (995).
McBain shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,862).
Home / Away
McBain
Scheifele
Home
49.1% (1,379)
48.9% (7,678)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
44.7% (7,574)
By Period
McBain
Scheifele
P1
47.1%
48.2%
P2
47.4%
45.6%
P3
45.4%
46.8%
OT
37.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:04 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:47 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 14:47 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:52 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |