Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Barron 46.8% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 65.5%
Defensive zone
Barron 86.1%
Neutral zone
Barron 61.9%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
McBain
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
McBain
Barron
Last 8: McBain 3-5 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Barron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
3
McBain
Barron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
1
2
McBain
Barron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
48.6% (381)
+3.9%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
33.3% (3)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
41.7% (187)
-5.5%
On power play, McBain has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
McBain shoots left. Barron is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
McBain
Barron
Home
52.4% (309)
44.4% (306)
Away
49.7% (326)
48.3% (265)
By Period
McBain
Barron
P1
54.0%
45.5%
P2
52.7%
49.8%
P3
46.5%
43.1%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:26 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 16:37 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |