Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Barron 48.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 63.8%
Defensive zone
Barron 59.8%
Neutral zone
McBain 53.5%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
McBain
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
McBain
Barron
Last 9: McBain 3-6 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
Barron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
3
McBain
Barron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
1
2
McBain
Barron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
49.4% (741)
-1.3%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
50.0% (6)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
42.3% (222)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Barron has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. McBain is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
McBain shoots left. Barron is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
McBain
Barron
Home
49.1% (1,379)
45.2% (480)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
50.3% (489)
By Period
McBain
Barron
P1
47.1%
48.0%
P2
47.4%
50.7%
P3
45.4%
44.7%
OT
37.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:26 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 16:37 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |