Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Hartman 48.1% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 51.8%
Defensive zone
Hartman 51.9%
Neutral zone
Hartman 54.3%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
McBain
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McBain
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
McBain
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
48.1% (520)
+3.1%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
44.7% (47)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
47.8% (23)
-20.5%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McBain is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (143).
McBain shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
McBain
Hartman
Home
53.6% (235)
48.3% (360)
Away
46.0% (224)
47.0% (230)
By Period
McBain
Hartman
P1
48.6%
48.5%
P2
50.9%
45.2%
P3
50.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
55.1%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |