Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Hartman 45.6% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 52.8%
Defensive zone
Hartman 51.6%
Neutral zone
Hartman 52.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
McBain
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McBain
Hartman
Last 6: McBain 3-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
McBain
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
45.1% (874)
+7.4%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
47.4% (95)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
37.5% (16)
-1.3%
On even strength, McBain has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McBain is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (261).
McBain shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
McBain
Hartman
Home
52.4% (309)
45.0% (515)
Away
49.7% (326)
45.3% (470)
By Period
McBain
Hartman
P1
54.0%
47.3%
P2
52.7%
40.1%
P3
46.5%
48.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:59 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |