Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs McLeod 47.4% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 72.8%
Defensive zone
McBain 53.1%
Neutral zone
McBain 68.6%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
McBain
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McBain
McLeod
Last 7: McBain 5-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
49.0% (827)
+3.5%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
44.0% (91)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
43.0% (272)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
McBain shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
McBain
McLeod
Home
52.4% (309)
48.5% (619)
Away
49.7% (326)
45.9% (571)
By Period
McBain
McLeod
P1
54.0%
52.7%
P2
52.7%
43.9%
P3
46.5%
45.8%
OT
50.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 04:25 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 05:03 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Jack McBain |