Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs McLeod 49.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 52.6%
Defensive zone
McBain 51.9%
Neutral zone
McBain 52.0%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
McBain
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
McBain
McLeod
Last 10: McBain 6-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
McBain
McLeod
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
6
McBain
McLeod
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
50.4% (3,376)
-2.3%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
50.7% (296)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
44.1% (644)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. McBain is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
McBain shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
McBain
McLeod
Home
49.1% (1,379)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
McBain
McLeod
P1
47.1%
50.8%
P2
47.4%
48.0%
P3
45.4%
50.0%
OT
37.5%
37.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 04:25 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 05:03 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:13 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 08:19 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 04:25 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:49 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |