Jack McBain vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.7%
Defensive zone
McBain 70.8%
Neutral zone
McBain 62.6%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: McBain 6-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
3
1
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
44.8% (8,775)
+3.3%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
50.6% (844)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
37.8% (880)
-2.2%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. McBain is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
McBain shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.1% (1,379)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
McBain
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.1%
45.1%
P2
47.4%
43.9%
P3
45.4%
45.2%
OT
37.5%
43.2%
Final 5 min
49.0%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |