Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Wright 41.4% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 73.4%
Defensive zone
McBain 60.9%
Neutral zone
Wright 54.1%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
McBain
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McBain
Wright
Last 5: McBain 2-3 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
Wright
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
0
2
McBain
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
39.7% (461)
+12.8%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
41.0% (61)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
0.0% (1)
+36.2%
On penalty kill, McBain has a +36.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. McBain is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (261).
McBain shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
McBain
Wright
Home
52.4% (309)
39.5% (286)
Away
49.7% (326)
40.1% (237)
By Period
McBain
Wright
P1
54.0%
40.2%
P2
52.7%
36.7%
P3
46.5%
42.9%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:29 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Shane Wright |