Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). McBain wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Wright 43.3% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Wright 51.0%
Defensive zone
McBain 80.7%
Neutral zone
McBain 71.4%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
McBain
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
McBain
Wright
Last 10: McBain 7-3 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
6
1
McBain
Wright
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Wright
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
0
4
McBain
Wright
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
42.7% (1,326)
+5.4%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
45.1% (133)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
33.3% (6)
+2.3%
On even strength, McBain has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. McBain is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (995).
McBain shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Home / Away
McBain
Wright
Home
49.1% (1,379)
44.2% (746)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
41.4% (719)
By Period
McBain
Wright
P1
47.1%
44.5%
P2
47.4%
40.5%
P3
45.4%
44.0%
OT
37.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:29 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 15:03 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Jack McBain |