Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Crosby 55.1% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 72.9%
Defensive zone
McBain 71.3%
Neutral zone
McBain 51.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
McBain
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McBain
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
McBain
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
53.3% (1,025)
-0.8%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
64.7% (249)
-22.6%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
60.0% (15)
-23.8%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
McBain shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
McBain
Crosby
Home
52.4% (309)
56.9% (675)
Away
49.7% (326)
54.1% (614)
By Period
McBain
Crosby
P1
54.0%
55.1%
P2
52.7%
53.1%
P3
46.5%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
54.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Jack McBain |