Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Crosby 53.5% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 76.5%
Defensive zone
McBain 73.6%
Neutral zone
Crosby 51.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
McBain
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
McBain
Crosby
Last 10: McBain 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
6
McBain
Crosby
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
6
2
McBain
Crosby
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
4
3
McBain
Crosby
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
52.8% (18,031)
-4.7%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
57.4% (4,741)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
47.0% (766)
-11.4%
On power play, Crosby has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McBain is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
McBain shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,886).
Home / Away
McBain
Crosby
Home
49.1% (1,379)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
52.0% (11,559)
By Period
McBain
Crosby
P1
47.1%
53.6%
P2
47.4%
53.8%
P3
45.4%
53.3%
OT
37.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:57 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 18:01 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:35 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 12:55 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 03:27 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:59 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 16:15 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |