Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 87.8%
Defensive zone
McBain 50.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 74.1%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
McBain
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McBain
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
55.9% (499)
-9.6%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
56.3% (126)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
58.3% (12)
-20.5%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. McBain is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (209).
McBain shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
McBain
Stamkos
Home
50.6% (330)
55.3% (349)
Away
39.7% (320)
56.9% (288)
By Period
McBain
Stamkos
P1
45.4%
57.0%
P2
44.5%
59.2%
P3
45.7%
51.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.2%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Jack McBain |