Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Zegras 37.0% (+18.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 55.9%
Defensive zone
McBain 84.3%
Neutral zone
McBain 76.5%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
McBain
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McBain
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
33.0% (264)
+19.5%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
32.1% (56)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
50.0% (2)
-13.8%
On even strength, McBain has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
McBain shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
McBain
Zegras
Home
52.4% (309)
35.3% (173)
Away
49.7% (326)
30.2% (149)
By Period
McBain
Zegras
P1
54.0%
33.0%
P2
52.7%
35.7%
P3
46.5%
29.7%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Jack McBain |