Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +20.6% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 41.9% vs Trocheck 54.3% (-20.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 76.8%
Defensive zone
McBain 76.2%
Neutral zone
McBain 74.1%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
McBain
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McBain
Trocheck
Last 5: McBain 1-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
McBain
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
McBain
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (86)
54.3% (955)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
17.6% (17)
51.0% (194)
-33.4%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. McBain is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (44).
McBain shoots left. Trocheck is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Home / Away
McBain
Trocheck
Home
33.8% (68)
58.3% (604)
Away
34.3% (35)
51.2% (641)
By Period
McBain
Trocheck
P1
40.6%
53.9%
P2
40.5%
55.7%
P3
20.6%
54.3%
Final 5 min
35.7%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
34.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▼
62.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 03:36 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Jack McBain |