Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 59.0%
Defensive zone
McBain 63.1%
Neutral zone
McBain 64.4%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
McBain
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
McBain
Trocheck
Last 9: McBain 4-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
4
0
McBain
Trocheck
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
4
McBain
Trocheck
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
McBain
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (569)
58.0% (666)
-5.5%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
64.8% (165)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
43.4% (152)
-7.2%
On power play, Trocheck has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. McBain is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (261).
McBain shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
McBain
Trocheck
Home
52.4% (309)
55.3% (436)
Away
49.7% (326)
58.1% (547)
By Period
McBain
Trocheck
P1
54.0%
56.4%
P2
52.7%
58.7%
P3
46.5%
55.5%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 12:38 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:59 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |