Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 52.1% vs Staal 54.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 67.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Roslovic
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Roslovic
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Roslovic
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (219)
56.2% (989)
-3.7%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
66.0% (159)
-8.1%
On power play, Staal has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Roslovic is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Roslovic shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Staal
Home
49.6% (121)
55.4% (699)
Away
56.4% (117)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Roslovic
Staal
P1
52.2%
55.7%
P2
56.6%
54.7%
P3
50.6%
53.4%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
52.9%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 17:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |