Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 28 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Staal 55.3% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 44-13 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 95.7%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 91.8%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 96.6%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 94.0%
94.0%
6.0%
Roslovic
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
44
(57 meetings)
13
44
Roslovic
Staal
Last 10: Roslovic 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
8
7
Roslovic
Staal
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
28
Roslovic
Staal
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
9
Roslovic
Staal
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,012)
55.9% (14,654)
-10.9%
Power Play
48.4% (341)
62.7% (1,762)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
47.9% (2,907)
-13.6%
On power play, Staal has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Roslovic is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,387).
Roslovic shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,583).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Staal
Home
44.0% (1,739)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
46.0% (1,719)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Roslovic
Staal
P1
45.5%
55.2%
P2
44.9%
55.9%
P3
44.8%
54.8%
OT
31.8%
56.2%
Final 5 min
44.3%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 17:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 10:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 08:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 7, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:46 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 04:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |