Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 52.1% vs Barzal 41.9% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 74.9%
Defensive zone
Barzal 71.8%
Neutral zone
Barzal 75.4%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Roslovic
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Roslovic
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
2
Roslovic
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (219)
40.9% (469)
+11.6%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
34.2% (38)
+23.7%
On power play, Roslovic has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Roslovic is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Roslovic shoots right. Barzal is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Barzal
Home
49.6% (121)
39.2% (250)
Away
56.4% (117)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Roslovic
Barzal
P1
52.2%
46.3%
P2
56.6%
36.7%
P3
50.6%
38.5%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
52.9%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |