Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Roslovic wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Barzal 42.2% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Barzal leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 53.7%
Defensive zone
Barzal 58.2%
Neutral zone
Barzal 51.1%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Roslovic
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Roslovic
Barzal
Last 10: Roslovic 5-5 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
1
Roslovic
Barzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
5
Roslovic
Barzal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roslovic
3
1
Roslovic
Barzal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,012)
41.9% (3,571)
+3.1%
Power Play
48.4% (341)
43.4% (205)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
42.3% (26)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,071).
Roslovic shoots right. Barzal is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,098).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Barzal
Home
44.0% (1,739)
43.2% (1,901)
Away
46.0% (1,719)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Roslovic
Barzal
P1
45.5%
40.6%
P2
44.9%
44.6%
P3
44.8%
41.1%
OT
31.8%
27.6%
Final 5 min
44.3%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:00 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:48 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 3 | 01:25 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 2 | 19:08 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 04:01 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:58 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |