Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Roslovic wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 52.1% vs Frost 56.4% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 83.1%
Defensive zone
Frost 69.0%
Neutral zone
Frost 77.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 80.2%
19.8%
80.2%
Roslovic
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Roslovic
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roslovic
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
0
Roslovic
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (219)
56.0% (755)
-3.5%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
60.1% (173)
-2.2%
On even strength, Frost has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Roslovic is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Roslovic shoots right. Frost is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Frost
Home
49.6% (121)
57.3% (497)
Away
56.4% (117)
56.8% (440)
By Period
Roslovic
Frost
P1
52.2%
60.2%
P2
56.6%
56.0%
P3
50.6%
54.8%
OT
33.3%
63.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
52.9%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 18:26 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |