Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 44.9% vs Frost 49.9% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Roslovic leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 57.8%
Defensive zone
Frost 61.1%
Neutral zone
Frost 68.0%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Roslovic
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Roslovic
Frost
Last 10: Roslovic 7-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Roslovic
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
5
2
Roslovic
Frost
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Roslovic
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (2,938)
49.0% (3,418)
-4.2%
Power Play
48.0% (333)
55.0% (600)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
52.8% (36)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Roslovic is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,321).
Roslovic shoots right. Frost is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,400).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Frost
Home
43.9% (1,701)
50.9% (1,943)
Away
45.7% (1,675)
49.0% (2,111)
By Period
Roslovic
Frost
P1
45.4%
50.3%
P2
44.3%
51.0%
P3
44.8%
48.0%
OT
31.8%
64.5%
Final 5 min
44.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
52.0%▬
51.0%
44.8%
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:18 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:05 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:41 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 01:16 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:09 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |