Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 52.1% vs Dowd 48.6% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 84.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 90.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 63.2%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Roslovic
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Roslovic
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Roslovic
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (219)
51.0% (671)
+1.5%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
0.0% (2)
+57.9%
On power play, Roslovic has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Roslovic is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Roslovic shoots right. Dowd is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Dowd
Home
49.6% (121)
48.2% (471)
Away
56.4% (117)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Roslovic
Dowd
P1
52.2%
48.3%
P2
56.6%
46.8%
P3
50.6%
51.0%
OT
33.3%
30.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
52.9%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |