Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Roslovic wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Dowd 50.7% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 94.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 78.2%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 70.1%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Roslovic
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
17
(28 meetings)
11
17
Roslovic
Dowd
Last 10: Roslovic 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
10
0
Roslovic
Dowd
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
10
Roslovic
Dowd
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
7
Roslovic
Dowd
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,012)
52.3% (6,036)
-7.3%
Power Play
48.4% (341)
56.1% (164)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
44.1% (1,638)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,071).
Roslovic shoots right. Dowd is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,681).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Dowd
Home
44.0% (1,739)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
46.0% (1,719)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Roslovic
Dowd
P1
45.5%
51.5%
P2
44.9%
50.4%
P3
44.8%
50.3%
OT
31.8%
45.9%
Final 5 min
44.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |